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The latest thinking from the Tilt marketplace: fresh research, trending indices, and the people building them.
The latest thinking from the Tilt marketplace: fresh research, trending indices, and the people building them.
Generic AI is priced. The tradable gap is access, automation, and receipts. — The easy AI thesis is no longer scarce. Everyone knows the large models matter. Everyone knows @Nvidia matters. Everyone knows hyperscaler capex matters. Everyone can say “agents,” “compute,” “power bottleneck,” and “data centers” without...
It's full of fat and you're giving the companies maintaining the index ETFs free money to do nothing. It's full of useless duplicate companies that only exist to drag down the entire group. Just like the worst performers of a classroom or...
The world changes daily. Markets react just as fast. Traditional investing was built for yesterday. A Tilt is a strongly held belief. A company is no different. This is ours. Tilt begins with a simple view of the world: investing should...
NVIDIA began its career as a company specializing in graphics computing, a leading player in this field that enabled gamers around the world; it has now abandoned gamers and developers to concentrate on AI data centers, which are...
I'm betting on three categories of winners for the AI theme in the next months/years: 1\. Disappearing of the tech "middle class" 📈 LONG Technology mega-cap: the cost expenditure of building data centers, and ability for mega-cap tech...
For most of the last decade, datacenter investment was a quietly growing line item — important, but unglamorous. That era is over. We are now in the middle of what analysts are calling a datacenter supercycle, a sustained, decade-long...
The consensus on AI and software is a rising-tide story: models get better, every application gets more valuable, the whole category floats up together. That story is half right, and the wrong half is the expensive one. AI doesn't lift...
Data Science @ Tilt
ceo @tilt...

Tech, language, dubious puns.
Fintech enthusiast.
Event Contract Indexing

I'm an Intelligent Systems Architect, product designer, and founder exploring how AI changes the way expertise becomes software. My work sits at the intersection of human judgment, product design, and emerging technology, where I build AI-powered systems that turn specialized knowledge into scalable products without losing the thinking behind them. I'm especially interested in how AI reshapes business models, decision making, and the future of work and I write about the market shifts that happen
Enginerd.
Generic AI is priced. The tradable gap is access, automation, and receipts. — The easy AI thesis is no longer scarce. Everyone knows the large models matter. Everyone knows @Nvidia matters. Everyone knows hyperscaler capex matters. Everyone can say “agents,” “compute,” “power bottleneck,” and “data centers” without...
It's full of fat and you're giving the companies maintaining the index ETFs free money to do nothing. It's full of useless duplicate companies that only exist to drag down the entire group. Just like the worst performers of a classroom or...
The world changes daily. Markets react just as fast. Traditional investing was built for yesterday. A Tilt is a strongly held belief. A company is no different. This is ours. Tilt begins with a simple view of the world: investing should...
NVIDIA began its career as a company specializing in graphics computing, a leading player in this field that enabled gamers around the world; it has now abandoned gamers and developers to concentrate on AI data centers, which are...
I'm betting on three categories of winners for the AI theme in the next months/years: 1\. Disappearing of the tech "middle class" 📈 LONG Technology mega-cap: the cost expenditure of building data centers, and ability for mega-cap tech...
For most of the last decade, datacenter investment was a quietly growing line item — important, but unglamorous. That era is over. We are now in the middle of what analysts are calling a datacenter supercycle, a sustained, decade-long...
The consensus on AI and software is a rising-tide story: models get better, every application gets more valuable, the whole category floats up together. That story is half right, and the wrong half is the expensive one. AI doesn't lift...
NVIDIA began its career as a company specializing in graphics computing, a leading player in this field that enabled gamers around the world; it has now abandoned gamers and developers to concentrate on AI data centers, which are...
It's full of fat and you're giving the companies maintaining the index ETFs free money to do nothing. It's full of useless duplicate companies that only exist to drag down the entire group. Just like the worst performers of a classroom or...
AI, actually Generative Artificial Intelligence, has already shown an ability to quickly get a clear sense of individual wants, needs, and tendencies. That has already been applied to a range of marketing activities that can be...
Most of the small-cap AI trade is sentiment. The names that move have a story about AI but no revenue tied to it. I want the opposite: small and mid caps whose reported segment revenue or backlog is already contracted to the datacenter...
The core bet is a change in where value accrues. For fifteen years, the economics of the internet rewarded intermediaries that owned distribution and identity — the app stores, the ad networks, the algorithmic feeds. A creator or small...
The same screenshots and thousand-word AI critiques people forward around are the noise of a technology being adopted faster than anyone can narrate it. Messy adoption is what real adoption looks like early. The people dumping @Claude...
People drop thousand-word AI critiques into my @Notion docs without reading the page. I get screenshots in ten-point font captioned "here's what @Claude thinks," and pull requests so big the sender clearly never re-read them. My company...
Software Is Dead. Long Live Software. An investment thesis written as a protocol — for a reasoning agent, not a pitch audience. Read the claims, apply the screen, check the falsifiers. Purpose Identify companies whose value derives from...
The world changes daily. Markets react just as fast. Traditional investing was built for yesterday. A Tilt is a strongly held belief. A company is no different. This is ours. Tilt begins with a simple view of the world: investing should...
Enterprise investment in AI has been astronomical. But now the bill is due and they're not seeing the RoI they were promised. Tons of money was raised basically because of the game theory of Artificial Super Intelligence. Even if the odds...
The big five #hyperscalers have guided analysts toward something in the range of $700 billion in capital expenditure for 2026, roughly 2% of US GDP and more than the combined military budgets of Germany, France, the UK, Japan, Italy and...
The constraint on AI capacity is shifting from chips to siting and power — and the binding limit is now political, not technical. Two things happened in this window: local opposition to data centers converted into electoral consequences,...
The consensus on AI and software is a rising-tide story: models get better, every application gets more valuable, the whole category floats up together. That story is half right, and the wrong half is the expensive one. AI doesn't lift...
The easy AI thesis is no longer scarce. Everyone knows the large models matter. Everyone knows @Nvidia matters. Everyone knows hyperscaler capex matters. Everyone can say “agents,” “compute,” “power bottleneck,” and “data centers” without...
For most of the last decade, datacenter investment was a quietly growing line item — important, but unglamorous. That era is over. We are now in the middle of what analysts are calling a datacenter supercycle, a sustained, decade-long...
The market cannot yet tell you which robot form factor, OEM, or actuator architecture wins. It can tell you one thing with near certainty: whatever gets built will be full of bearings. Every motor and every joint in a robot requires at...
The influencer economy is becoming a builder economy. The unit of software production just collapsed For thirty years, shipping a real product required a team. Someone to design it, someone to build the frontend, someone for the backend,...
We believe the next wave of enterprise software will come from AI products built for specific industries rather than general-purpose tools. Healthcare is particularly attractive due to its large administrative burden, fragmented software...
What happens when intelligence becomes free — but trust doesn't? That's the question at the heart of a new 112-page economics paper from @christian-catalini, @xin-hui, and @hanlin-wu that might be the most important framework for thinking...
The AI trade is usually framed too narrowly. Most investors ask which model wins, which chatbot wins, or which app becomes the next platform. Those questions matter, but they miss the larger point. The better question is: what happens if...
Oil and coal are gasping their last foul, carbon-choked breaths. These dinosaur fuels — and how fitting that they literally come from dinosaurs — are being dragged kicking and screaming into the dustbin of history, propped up only by the...